skyhookii

[1] Chicago Bulls vs [5] Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks (surprisingly) made it to the second round to face the Bulls. Unfortunately, both teams have injuries to key players. Boozer (CHI) is suffering from a turf toe and Rose (CHI) is battling a sprained ankle. However, both should be healthy to play, though Boozer might sit out game one. Hinrich (ATL) has a strained hamstring that could keep him out of the series. Offensively, the Bulls are going to keep relying on Derrick Rose and the Hawks don't seem to have an answer for him. Crawford is quick, but not strong enough to counter Rose. Once Rose drives past his defender, the Hawks bigs will have to collapse on Rose to force him to give up the ball. Larry Drew is going to have to play Jason Collins again to defend Noah, moving Horford to play Boozer. This is probably Atlanta's best option if they have any chance of making this a series. Even then, I don't think the Hawks will survive long.

Prediction: Chicago in 5

[2] Miami Heat vs [3] Boston Celtics
This is the series everyone is looking forward to. The Celtics are more experienced, but the Heat are younger and hungrier. Shaq is looking to coming back for the Celtics, giving them more size underneath to block the lane and stop LeBron from driving. Both teams are great defensively, but the key factor in this series is Rajon Rondo. If Rondo plays well, the Celtics are going to win. Mike Bibby cannot guard Rajon Rondo. Erik Spoelstra may have to switch Wade on Rondo and this will tire Wade out very quickly. meaning LeBron will have to carry the load offensively. Garnett is going to dominate Bosh. LeBron can't carry the Heat over the Celtics. Allen, Pierce and Rondo will do most the damage as usual. Nonetheless, this is probably going to be a long and close series.

Prediction: Celtics in 7

Shaqleung

東岸戲碼都唔錯唔錯~~

skyhookii

[2] Los Angeles Lakers vs [3] Dallas Mavericks
You can put money on this series to be heated up. Both teams are still edgy after that altercation in their last match up between Jason Terry and Steve Blake. Rumour has it that Caron Butler will be back for the Mavs, which will definitely strengthen them on both ends of the floor. The Lakers' best advantage over any other team in this league is weakened by the presence of Brendan Haywood and Tyson Chandler, both of whom are solid defenders and will be able to box out Andrew Bynum. As usual, Lamar Odom is the X-factor for the Lakers. If he plays well, he can definitely outplay any Dallas big. To stop Kobe Bryant, the Mavs are going to look to switch Shawn Marion on Kobe and putting DeShawn Stevenson on Ron Artest. If Ron can take advantage of that mismatch, the Lakers can win.

Prediction: Lakers in 7

[4] Oklahoma City Thunder vs [8] Memphis Grizzlies
Yes, the Grizzlies put away the Spurs. They used their size (Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph) to do that. But can they do it again against the Thunder? The Grizzlies' inside threat is significantly reduced by the Thunder who have strong post defense in Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka. However, the Thunder's main offensive weapons (Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant) may also be neutralized by Tony Allen and Shane Battier. This series is going to be very interesting to watch with match ups like those. Both teams almost cancel out the other's offensive weapons, meaning the role players will have to step up. The Grizzlies are looking to rely on OJ Mayo and Darrell Arthur for offense and the Thunder will look to James Harden for a spark. This is a tough series for both teams and could last a while. However, I have more confidence in Durant and Westbrook to be able to break out.

Prediction: Thunder in 6

自由神

Game 1 Review: Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph are too strong for Ibaka while Perkins seems not in condition to help Ibaka.
Shane Battier's defence on Russell Westbrook well.

WoW, it will be very interesting to see Marc VS Pau in Western Final

tlkwan

[2] Los Angeles Lakers vs [3] Dallas Mavericks
You can put money on this series to be heated up. Both teams are still edgy after that altercation in their last match up between Jason Terry and Steve B ...
skyhookii 發表於 2011-5-1 04:09 PM

I agree that the final of West should be Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunde, and Los Angeles Lakers will be the winner of west and final champian of NBA. KB also the MVP of playoff again.

自由神

I agree that the final of West should be Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunde, and Los Angeles Lakers will be the winner of west and final champian of NBA. KB also the MVP of playoff again.
tlkwan 發表於 2011-5-2 12:01 PM

Hope so

tlkwan

[1] Chicago Bulls vs [5] Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks (surprisingly) made it to the second round to face the Bulls. Unfortunately, both teams have injuries to key players. Boozer (CHI) is suffering from a  ...
skyhookii 發表於 2011-4-30 03:54 PM

I  agree that Boston Celtics can win Miami Heat and go to East final vs Bulls, as boston 常規賽 竟 3-1 heats , 但得失分卻是熱火 1 場攞多過3場所失 , 熱火 得失分 lead 7 分 , 但得失場比得失分重要下, celtics 略有優勢 !

首圈熱火對76人竟要輸1場,留放部署適合度明顯欠缺了 ! 反之 塞爾特人 , 首2場主場險勝,留少少力番作客2場再爆贏2場,留放簡直一流 ! 這也許是塞軍主帥部署更好了 ! 綠軍老將 4-0 後休息甚足,所以甚具體力優勢,加上板凳深度略佳下 , 熱火主場2仗很有可能比綠軍偷掉1場 , 不過綠軍主場不甚穩 ( e,g vs NYK 2仗僅勝 ) , so 有可能2次主場比heats偷番場,所以頭2仗 綠軍最好偷掉1場免後患了 , 咁無 3-1 都 2-2 機高嘛 ! ) , 只要成功把 game 5 作客拿下,就好樂觀了,即使攞唔到,game 6 主場win番仲可以力戰game 7 仲有一半機會 !

以下落黎我會由統計數據, 傷病情況以至個人狀態去分析兩隊既形勢:

新三巨頭 對 舊三巨頭


MIAMI HEAT

由LBJ, Wade 再加Bosh組成既熱火, 今年奪標呼聲甚高.
根據外界非正式冠軍Odds, 熱火比塞爾特人排得仲要更前.
意味著只要熱火贏到綠軍, 如果西岸非湖人勝出, 就幾乎穩執盃耳!

http://www.beted.com/Clubhouse/NBA-Basketball/NBA-Playoff-Futures-Odds-to-win-the-NBA-Championships-1192581430/

熱火勝在Core球員年輕當打, 有速度, 打防守, 有進攻能力.
有人話佢地經驗唔夠, 我就覺得除左Bosh之外, 其他球員如LBJ, Wade, 大Z, Bibby等等都非等閒之輩.

入正題, 打完第一Round, 三巨頭由Regular Season, 平均每人上陣37分鐘, 合共攻入72分.
到而家對住76人, 平均每人上陣高達40分鐘, 攻入平均66分.
數據話比你知, 佢地三個入到Playoff無再好似常規賽咁如入無人之境.
對住76人已經要打40分鐘, 咁對住綠軍究竟要打幾多分鐘先夠?
況且綠軍乃係聯盟防守之冠, 能唔能夠平均攻入66分, 真係一個迷!

進攻方面, 熱火要做到以下幾點:
1. 不斷搶進攻籃板球, 得到更多2nd chance. 皆因綠軍平均籃板球數目係聯盟差唔多包尾...
2. 雙箭頭要夠快, 用快攻打亂Celtics個防守鐵陣  
3. 三巨頭要多D剷籃, Draw Foul, 令綠軍主力Foul Trouble
4. Jones, Chalmers, Bibby醒醒定定, 空晒要射得入. 三分唔好啞火.
5. 呢個真係好重要, 就係熱火教練, 有無辦法可以除左用1 on 1戰術外, 選擇以Bibby或Wade切入組織更多唔個人獨食既攻勢?

防守方面:
1. 老老實實, Boston果邊其實有四巨頭, 黎到呢一刻, 真係要諗諗計點樣阻止Rondo既切入. 用Bibby既話可以話你知死梗. 放佢射呢招已經令NYK後悔不已. 而且我唔覺得Bibby而家既進攻狀態好佢幾多.
2. Wade同埋James我唔擔心, 常規賽最後一次對決已經見識過點樣守死PP, Ray. 只要兩個唔好掛住進攻, 應該都無問題.
3. Bosh對住KG, 一個攻強過守, 一個守強過攻, 呢一點真係要睇狀態. 但我都幾肯定Rivers唔會派KG Mark住Bosh, 因為會有Foul Trouble, 反而KG會做多D協防角色.
4. 呢一點係未知數, 就係Shaq係咪會出返. 如果係, Sorry, 大Z同Anthony應該唔會頂得幾耐, 一個腳步慢, 一個無身型. 但如果只係得小O, 放心, 一定夠做.
5. 唔可以比綠軍Bench On Fire! Big Baby, Jeff Green, LBJ Father 個個都有能力拎你20分, 當熱火後備上陣, 就要好好守住對方, 以防奇兵出現.

未知數: Miller, Howard, House都係無咩狀態, 究竟Heat Bench能唔能夠為主力提供休息, 為Heat補充火力, 實在係呢個Series最重要既一環!


Boston Celtics

講熱火, 始終有所避忌, 講綠軍, 對左四年, 可以話你知, 我睇足至少70場波.
綠軍今年同往年唔同, 就係中間經歷左大Trade.
好多人討論放走Perkins係自殺表現.
我想問下你地, 而家Boston已經出左局啦咩?
要Perkins, 係要黎防住魔獸Howard, 頂住Lakers Bynum.
如果我同你講, Magic同Lakers"不幸"地出局, 你仲會唔會要Perkins?
拿, 我唔係GM, 我唔會預知到未來. 但我可以好肯定:
Pierce一個頂唔到LBJ, 頂唔到Bryant, 更加無可能防得住得分王Durant.
Jeff Green就係要黎分擔Pierce既角色. 有身高, 有防守, 有遠投.
就算對住公牛, 打個矮陣都起碼可以靈活用人!  

廢話講完. 塞爾特人4-0掃走NYK後, 得到6日休息, 以逸代勞.
對於呢班"老人家"黎講,  要打足40分鐘, 真係唔係4年前既佢地.
更何況呢40分鐘係要對住呢班上晒力既後生仔, 所以extra既休息除左可以Rest到球員, 仲可以比到Shaq更多時間傷癒.  

同熱火情況相反, 三巨頭常規賽, 平均上陣34分鐘, Total攻入51分.
到打完NYK, 平均上陣37分鐘, 打出平均60分.
你可以話佢地上力, 但我會話係NYK無防守.
但如果有睇對NYK 4場波, 三巨頭係分別唔同場次發威.
再加上Rondo 19分, 12ast, 7.3籃板, 真係可以話NYK幫佢地熱晒身.
而且, 我絕對有理由相信Rondo去到季尾係打得好小心, 好少剷籃, 避傷患困擾, 先至會回落.
但相反, 班Bench個個手軟, 平均只合共攻入20分以下, 同Heat真係"不相伯仲"...

要贏出呢個Series, 進攻要有以下幾點:
1. 有至少1個更淨C/PF pick到Ray Ray既無球走位, 因為防佢果個唔再係咩野Landry Fields...
2. Pierce打返出對騎士既James既狀態, 唔可以淨係依賴Jumpers.
3. KG要將Bosh扯出, Keep住用中投威脅熱火, 令Rondo/PP更多剷籃機會.
4. Rondo有機會就繼續剷籃啦唔該, 唔好射中距離喇, 我相信熱火個底唔會好得過NYK幾多. 但如果熱火玩到用James/Wade輪流防守或協防, 真係凍過水.
5. Shaq/J.O. 比多D壓力熱火個底, 特別係J.O., 唔好搞到Celtics變左一個中距離投射球隊.
6. Beach班友醒定D, Starter有機會頂唔住熱火個陣, 換你地上黎就係得分既好時機. Big Baby/Green, 要發揮你第6個本色.
7. 進攻有咁慢得咁慢, Ball Movement傳得幾多得幾多, 總之拖慢熱火個Rhythm就OK.

防守必須做到:
1. 籃板. 無喇, 講完, 籃板!
2. 每一次進攻要盡快回防, 阻止達陣王打and 1.
3. 熱火三分有幾支炮, 防線要迫出少少.
4. 以前打James/Wade就話Double Team, 而家應該無架喇. 但只要內線塞得死, 迫佢地射中距離, 應該可以減少LBJ/Wade既得分.
5. 龍王以柔制剛, 靈活性及機動性唔係咁易守得住. 就算KG守都係追唔上腳步, 但如果令到佢無辦法on-fire, Bosh既威力會大減.

未知數: Krstic, Murphy, Shaq三個內線人物, 將會係綠軍能唔能夠抗衡熱火既重要因素. 有Krstic及Murphy既遠射的話, 幫助會好大. 加埋Shaq人肉Wall防守, 應該都夠做.

世紀大戰, 香港時間, 星期一凌晨3:30, 即將展開!  
作為Boston Fans, 預測:
Game 1 - Heat
Game 2 - Celtics
Game 3 - Celtics
Game 4 - Heat
Game 5 - Heat
Game 6 - Celtics
Game 7 - Celtics

Boston 4 : 3 Heat !!


  actually as I guess 綠衫軍首戰不敵熱火(Today在東區季後賽第2輪開幕戰Heat99-90 win Celtics)

tlkwan

NBA季後賽，熱火及灰熊分別在東西岸的四強首場賽事取勝。

享有主場之利的熱火，以99比90擊敗作客的塞爾特人。韋特獨取三十八分，勒邦占士貢獻二十二分，六個籃板及五個助攻。雷雅倫為塞爾特人射入二十五分，皮雅斯取得十九分，但他到最後一節結束前七分鐘被逐。

灰熊作客以114比101擊敗雷霆。蘭度夫個人獨取三十四分及十個籃板，馬克加素亦造出雙雙，包括射入二十分。雷霆主將杜蘭特上陣四十四分鐘，二十一投十一中，得到三十三分及十一個籃板，但未能協助球隊主場取勝。

Shaqleung

很好既分析~~

我睇好celtics既原因會係因為教練.其實兩隊主將連主要後備既季後賽經驗都不少.反而係教練經驗有d差別.我地其實睇到臨場戰術, spoelstra好少有d咩特別既調動令人驚喜. 當兩隊實力差無幾既時候,有時呢樣野可能係分勝負既關鍵.

OKC鍊贏左鬥快既denver,對番隊快又得慢又得既球隊.不過致命傷係失誤. 好明顯memphis既防守有番咁上下.話哂對住馬刺都鍊贏過.不過我相信OKC經調整,下場應該冇問題.始終佢地主場好

tlkwan

28# tlkwan

今日塞爾特人吳知點解同熱火打得咁激....差d打交咁,pierce仲比人趕左出場,有火係好,但都要理智,見吳到bosh同kg有咩對抗,兩個都咁低分...睇來焦點都係起wade同rondo身上.....

今日雷霆輸左都有d意外,durant同westbrook打得好就一定,睇下有冇其他雷霆的球員挺身而出,ibaka同harden都ok,但吳太足夠,灰熊贏左起兩位球員到,randolph同gasol,兩個起籃底玩曬,似乎perkins同ibaka起吳到作用,即使durant同westbrook打得幾好都無用啦,要denfense得再好d,t allen同m conley呢d綠葉都打得吳錯....