[原創]Game 7 Keys to Win ( NBA Final )

yanmatthew2006

Game 7 Keys to Win, all of it are based on my personal opinions

In order for Detroit to win:

1) Get their Bigs involved

So far in the series, Detroit is doing a better job in involving their Bigs (Big Ben, Sheed, Prince and Dice), and they really active on the both ends during the Game 3-6. While San Antonio, Only Duncan is doing a decent job. Nazr Mohammed's best contribution is getting offensive reb, Bowen's best contribution is hounding RIP, and Horry best contribution is saving the Spurs from a loss in the crucial game 5, but again, u got to give Sheed credit for leaving him wide open. So by getting the Pistions' Bigs involved, look at the last 2 min of game 6, look at Sheed, he makes key baskets, grab key rebounds, and get 2 key stops on Ginobili and they got the W.


2) Need to get RIP and Sheed going early

In the 3 Losses, Hamilton is 19-41 in FG, and avg 14.3 ppg
In the 3 Wins, Hamilton is 24-58 in FG, and avg 19.7 ppg

In the 3 Losses, Sheed is 13-32 in FG, and avg 9 ppg
In the 3 Wins, Sheed is 17-38 in FG, and avg 12.7 ppg

i know they have been inconsistent FG% wise, BUT remember, their total difference (5.4 + 3.7) in points can be a huge difference maker for the offensively challenged Pistons. In addition, it can break down Spurs defense, espcially when it comes to the last 6 min of the game


3) Bench Play

In the 3 Ws, the Pistons bench avg 22 pts
in the 3 Ls, they avg 15 pts

You can't rely only on ur starting 5.....otherwise, it might turn out to be like Phoenix....


4) Defend Penetration

Even though the Pistons did win game 6 to avoid elimination, the did not defend penetration really well in the first 3 quarters. Parker and Ginobili was able to get into the lane at will and u dun want that to allow them to build up their confidence. Detroit need to stop Parker and Ginobili to get past the free-throw line and force to pass the ball instead of allowing them to drive for a layup and drawing possible fouls on 2 Wallaces + Dice. As u know, Detroit bench is already not too deep.


5) Limit Spurs to one shot per possession

In 6 games, Detroit have taken an avg of 10 more shots per game than San Antonio
here are the numbers

Detroit
Gm 1 - 77 - .377
Gm 2 - 82 - .402
Gm 3 - 85 - .471
Gm 4 - 90 - .456
Gm 5 - 84 - .440
Gm 6 - 79 - .468
Total - 497

while the Spurs

Gm 1 - 79 - .430
Gm 2 - 62 - .468
Gm 3 - 67 - .433
Gm 4 - 70 - .371
Gm 5 - 82 - .463
Gm 6 - 75 - .413
Total - 435

Some might say, well take less shot might jsut mean that you r more efficient
BUT remember, that's only if u 're shooting at a high %, and as u can see, which teams shoots the better %, most likely they'll win

so how come Detroit get to shoot 10 more shots on avg per game
1) Detroit forces way more turnovers
2) Detroit are more active on the offensive boards
3) Detroit make more stops by blocking shots, if u look at the numbers below, you'll understand

in the 6 games, Detroit has a total of 47 blocked shots, avg 7.83 / game
while San Antonio has a total of 32 blocked shots, avg 5.33 / game

so if u add the difference in the blockshots and TOs, that's great defense and it generates more offensive time for the Pistions


In order for San Antonio to win:

1) Force Turnovers, Take care of the ball

Pistons 's TO #s

Gm 1 - 12
Gm 2 - 13
Gm 3 - 11
Gm 4 - 3
Gm 5 - 11
Gm 6 - 5
For an avg of 7.33/game....that's WAY below league avg, thanks to Billups

while the Spurs.....

Gm 1 - 15
Gm 2 - 15
Gm 3 - 18
Gm 4 - 17
Gm 5 - 16
Gm 6 - 11
For an avg of 13/game....

Poppovich tried to stop the bleeding why benchign Udrih....but that's doesn't do much
and the end result from this.....more FG attempts for Pistons


2) Feed the Big Fella

in a crucial game 6, Duncan only had 14 shots.....in 40 min, let see, Brent Barry had 10 shots when he only played 25 min.....and Duncan suppose to be ur best player, whether the team or the whole entire NBA

and in the 3 Ws, he went 26-56, 22.7 ppg, 15.6 rpg, avg 18.7 shots a game
in the 3 Ls, he was 18-46, 17 ppg, 13.7, avg 15.3 shots a game

and by feeding the ball to Duncan, it stretches the Pistons defense and allow guys like Horry, Barry, Bowen, Ginobili to have a good look at the 3 pters

3) Bench Play

Poppavich only trust 3 players from his bench

Robert Horry, Brent Barry, 1/2 Devin Brown, and 1/2 Beno Udrih

Udrih is 1/2 because Poppovich dun trust his ball-handling ability which causes too many TOs
Brown is 1/2 because he is seen as a defensive liability

Barry now plays PG, SG, SF depending who's on the floor
and Horry....if Big Shot Rob appears again Game 7, Detroit....See Ya~

Stats dun necessarily show the difference as the numbers between Horry/Barry/Udrih is about the same as McDyess/Hunter/Arroyo
What i see is that the tone and presence that these role players set when they come in the game.

ie. Horry provide the 3, Barry provide PG duties when Parker is resting, Hunter provide the defense on the ball-handler, Dyess provide low post scoring when Sheed & Prince is on the bench

so the Spurs cannot let Hunter hound their PG on the floor, whether it's Parker or Ginobili or Barry, take care of the ball
and also, Horry need to "out-present" Dyess in scoring and rebounding off the bench


4) Rebounding

in the 6 games so far, the spurs and the pistons win the rebounding department 3 times
however, if u do the number game....

Spurs in 6 games, avg 13 offensive reb and total of 42.3 reb per game
Pistons in 6 gms, avg 14.7 offensive reb and total of 42.2 reb per game
so it seems like a close race
but if u take out game 1 blowout when the Wallaces were not awake yet
Spurs avg 12.6 offensive and total of 41 per game
Pistons avg 15.4 offensive and total 43.6 per game

so far, duncan has been a monster on the glass, avg 14.7 boards a game. But Spurs need more than that.

Mohammed and Horry need to give him a big hand.

and one of the keys i mentioned in order for Pistons to win, they need to limit Spurs to one shot per possession, well it works the same for the Spurs, limit the Pistons to one shot

5) Defend the 3-pointers

Detroit was horrible from 3 for the first 5 games, they were 8-44, 18.2%
and the Spurs were shooting really well during the same span, they went 36-89, 40.4%

but in game 6, the new Bad Boys caught fire and went 8-17, 47.1%
while the Spurs went only 8-28, 28.6%

u can say that the Pistons r lucky cuz they can't shoot 3 for the first 5 games and all of sudden so good in game 6
but remember, Detroit throughout the season has been streaky, they can shoot the lights out one night, and shoot bricks the next
and Poppavich explained that it was their fault on defense which give so many open look to Chauncey and Sheed, who went 5-9 and 2-5 respectively.
So if the Spurs wanna have a chance to win, they need to defend the 3 from the Pistons

Go Spurs Go
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