英超四隊只能活兩隊
16 [b]Sunderland[/b] 37 9 9 19 32 51 6 3 9 19 22 3 6 10 13 29 -19 3617 [b]Hull City[/b] 37 8 11 18 39 63 3 5 10 18 35 5 6 8 21 28 -24 35
18 [b]Newcastle United[/b] 37 7 13 17 40 58 5 7 7 24 29 2 6 10 16 29 -18 34
19 [b]Middlesbrough[/b] 37 7 11 19 27 55 5 9 5 17 20 2 2 14 10 35 -28 32
Sun. 24 16:00 UK [b]Sunderland[/b] v Chelsea
Sun. 24 16:00 UK [b]Hull City[/b] v Manchester United
Sun. 24 16:00 UK Aston Villa v [b]Newcastle United[/b]
Sun. 24 16:00 UK West Ham United v [b]Middlesbrough [/b]
最有機會降班Middlesbrough
但最有機會全取三分
:good: :good: :good:
反觀 Hull City & Newcastle未必拿到分
:crybye: :crybye: :crybye:
Sunderland 再Loss 一D 都吾出奇
如Manchester United & ASTON Villa放水
甘就Sunderland 衰收尾
:dev: :dev: :dev: 如果堅尼重係度既話
manutd 或者會幫幫佢 季初真係冇想過老虎要護級
反而輸波都唔少既stoke city依家企得咁穩 米堡如果真係護到級既位, 相信係近年護級之中既奇跡之一 (本身想講最奇跡, 但醒起前幾年西布朗果次護級:secret:)
佢既情況係, 侯城要大敗+紐卡素要輸+自己要贏, 先至護到級
再唔係, 自己大勝到(3球或以上), 侯城同紐卡素要一分都拎唔到,,
個人認為米堡已經不在依四隊之列咖啦
至於另一隊陪走既, 我希望係新特蘭啦, 侯城我認為佢會拎到分, 而紐卡素就全屬主觀既意願, 皆因佢地實在有太多我喜歡既球員
(Duff, Jonas. Guthrie, Alan Smith, Nolan, Steven Taylor都係好喜歡既球員:love: )
加油啦喜鶄:yy14: 我諗最大機會輸係sunderland, 因為車仔應該會想爭老二
而hull city, 我諗50/50 啦, manutd 應該會留下力歐聯, 不過都有可能係上下半場出一部分主力再搭新仔,
所以都好睇hull city 自己爭唔爭氣先
newcastle 呢....... 我唔知aston villa 同佢有冇仇啦, 因為好多球會與球會既恩怨只有當地人先知的.
如果冇仇口的話, aston villa 又有第5的話( 因為我冇留意佢係咪穩奪第五) 都有可能放一放水既, 話哂newcastle都叫老牌球會呀
而Middlesbrough 方面, 就...... 唔咁睇好, 事關真係佢地打得極差呀..... 就算west ham 放水 , Middlesbrough 都未必把握到 !!!
本人但願newcastle, sunderland 護級成功啦, newcastle 話哂好多球星, 我唔想佢好似當年我所愛既leeds咁, 降班幾本上會星散,最後一落千丈...... 而sunderland 係餘下3隊中最有potential 係下年打番好的 .... 我只希望老虎仔護到級+紐卡素降班:crybye: [quote]原帖由 [i]phelps[/i] 於 2009-5-19 10:12 PM 發表 [url=http://www.26fun.com/bbs/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=3150747&ptid=203218][img]http://www.26fun.com/bbs/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
newcastle 呢....... 我唔知aston villa 同佢有冇仇啦, 因為好多球會與球會既恩怨只有當地人先知的.
如果冇仇口的話, aston villa 又有第5的話( 因為我冇留意佢係咪穩奪第五) 都有可能放一放水既, 話哂newcastle都叫老牌球會呀 [/quote]
但個point係, 老舒接手紐記之後, 入球能力十分低, 放水比佢, 我驚佢地任射都唔中龍.........................不過我都想紐記護級成功既!:P [table=98%][tr][td]因為我個人認為newcastle 始終有好多班星, 而且係有實力的, 雖然過氣既過氣,冇態既冇態, 不過去到呢個情況, 打番一場好波, 我諗機會比起其餘果3隊大.
不過都好睇班人對newcastle 有幾多歸屬感先得.....
可能有d人跟本想借降班黎走, 咁點打都唔好啦..... ( 打個比喻 only, 唔係想得罪人, 而且我最想newcastle 護到的)
[/td][/tr][tr][td]
[/td][/tr][/table] 其實都餘下賽事唔難估
車仔應該穩勝, 而且唔少於一球啦
侯城打曼聯應該有得搶分
但係我覺得都係俾你摸個和罷了
要諗下曼聯既副選都唔會俾你亂來
個個都想上位所以踢起上來候城一樣唔著數
最後應該係sunderland同 hull city同分但係得失球sunderland好少少唔洗降班
由於兩隊36分, Middlesbrough咁就降硬, 所以唔洗講佢啦, 講下newcastle
贏左先可以唔洗降班, 但係對住維拉, 一樣想搶歐洲賽席位
所以呢場應該會係焦點: 最後可能係取決於教練最後20分鐘點換人
我估應該會開頭70分鐘對攻到膠著狀態, 最後摸和既機會都唔細
[[i] 本帖最後由 fderek 於 2009-5-20 10:42 AM 編輯 [/i]] 係我心目中米堡一定降, 因為就算佢win而hull城輸佢都冇乜可能追到得失球.
其他真係冇得估....
我心目中估降班的, 除左[color=red]西布朗[/color]之外
另外兩名就係[color=red]米堡[/color][color=black]同埋[/color][color=red]侯城
[/color][color=black]newcastle有機會和波然後靠得實球過侯城[/color] It is a mission impossible for Middlesbrough to survive the relegation battle. Conditions for Middlesbrough to stay in Premier League are:
[color=#ff0000][b]1. Hull City must lose to Manchester United (Let say lose by 2 goals)
2. Newcastle United must lose to Aston Villa
3. Middlesbrough must win against West Ham and they must win BIG (At least by 3 goals)
[/b]But,
[b]1. Manchester United is the infamous saviour team for those relegation-threaten teams. Remeber West Ham 2 years ago?
2. Aston Villa's form is terrible. May be, just may be Newcastle can bring a draw.
3. Can Middlesbrough beat West Ham AWAY? Probably not.[/b][/color]
Probability for Hull to lose to United is high. Probability for Aston Villa to beat Newcastle is high. Even Middlesbrough still has a chance to beat West Ham. But, for the above all 3 situations to occur at the same time, the probability is quite low man. Middlesbrough find only themselves to be blame for their relagation. I would not rule out Middlesbrough to survive but they are against all odds and probably to be relegated.
[size=5][u][b]PROBABILITY FOR MIDDLESBROUGH TO SURVIVE = 10%[/b][/u][/size]
Now, Newcastle & Hull City
Conditions for Newcastle to survive is better than Middlesbrough.
[b][color=#ff8c00]If, Hull City lose to United,[/color]
[color=#ff8c00]t[/color][color=#ff8c00]hen Newcastle just need a draw against Villa to survive.[/color]
[/b][color=#ff8c00][b]If, Hull City draw with United,
then Newcastle need a win to survive.
If Hull City defeat United,
then Newcastle must win against Villa and pray hard for Sunderland to lose to Chelsea.[/b][/color][b]Although Newcastle are one point behind Hull City,
But,
They have superior goal difference against Hull City
AND They are up against a team which have no form
AND Hull City may be cant even beat Manchester United Reserve Team.[/b]
Hence, these compensate the 'half a point" lead by Hull City. 50-50 for 2 teams
[u][size=5][b]PROBABILITY FOR NEWCASTLE TO SURVIVE = 50%
PROBABILITY FOR HULL CITY TO SURVIVE = 50%[/b][/size][/u]
And AFC Sunderland a.k.a. Manchester United 'B' Team
[color=#ff0000][b]I[/b][/color][b][color=#ff0000]f they win, defintely they will stay.
BUT
If they draw or lose, just pray for Hull or Newcastle not to win the game, they are secured.[/color][/b]
[b][size=5][u]PROBABILITY FOR SUNDERLAND TO SURVIVE = 90%[/u][/size][/b] 侯城同新特蘭打曼聯同車仔...(曼聯,車仔要打歐聯,足總盃)
米堡同紐卡素要作客對住韋斯咸,維拉...(維拉穩坐5/6位; 韋斯咸打例行公事)
侯城同新特蘭主場,應該最少可以得搶1分
米堡同紐卡素打作客差,最多可以得搶1分...
新特蘭 36分 GD -19
侯城 35分 GD -24
紐卡素 34分 GD -18
米堡 32分 GD -28
西布朗 31分 GD -31
結果~~可能排名不變....米堡同紐卡素 BYE BYE 我估新特蘭雖然輸波, 但都護到級, 因為紐卡素同侯城自己太唔爭氣了, 前者算是有鬥志, 但老舒確仍在學神階段, 戰術上仍在try and error, 但已無時間讓佢try; 後者一句講哂實力不足, 而且曼聯向來同新特蘭關係良好, 出d副選但拼盡, 相信侯城最多攞一分
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