chanzhesheng

It is a mission impossible for Middlesbrough to survive the relegation battle. Conditions for Middlesbrough to stay in Premier League are:

1. Hull City must lose to Manchester United (Let say lose by 2 goals)
2. Newcastle United must lose to Aston Villa
3. Middlesbrough must win against West Ham and they must win BIG (At least by 3 goals)

But,

1. Manchester United is the infamous saviour team for those relegation-threaten teams. Remeber West Ham 2 years ago?
2. Aston Villa's form is terrible. May be, just may be Newcastle can bring a draw.
3. Can Middlesbrough beat West Ham AWAY? Probably not.

Probability for Hull to lose to United is high. Probability for Aston Villa to beat Newcastle is high. Even Middlesbrough still has a chance to beat West Ham. But, for the above all 3 situations to occur at the same time, the probability is quite low man. Middlesbrough find only themselves to be blame for their relagation. I would not rule out Middlesbrough to survive but they are against all odds and probably to be relegated.

PROBABILITY FOR MIDDLESBROUGH TO SURVIVE = 10%

Now, Newcastle & Hull City

Conditions for Newcastle to survive is better than Middlesbrough.

If, Hull City lose to United,
then Newcastle just need a draw against Villa to survive.

If, Hull City draw with United,
then Newcastle need a win to survive.

If Hull City defeat United,
then Newcastle must win against Villa and pray hard for Sunderland to lose to Chelsea.Although Newcastle are one point behind Hull City,
But,
They have superior goal difference against Hull City
AND They are up against a team which have no form
AND Hull City may be cant even beat Manchester United Reserve Team.

Hence, these compensate the 'half a point" lead by Hull City. 50-50 for 2 teams

PROBABILITY FOR NEWCASTLE TO SURVIVE = 50%

PROBABILITY FOR HULL CITY TO SURVIVE = 50%

And AFC Sunderland a.k.a. Manchester United 'B' Team

If they win, defintely they will stay.
BUT
If they draw or lose, just pray for Hull or Newcastle not to win the game, they are secured.

PROBABILITY FOR SUNDERLAND TO SURVIVE = 90%

Kon Lai

侯城同新特蘭打曼聯同車仔...(曼聯,車仔要打歐聯,足總盃)
米堡同紐卡素要作客對住韋斯咸,維拉...(維拉穩坐5/6位; 韋斯咸打例行公事)
侯城同新特蘭主場,應該最少可以得搶1分
米堡同紐卡素打作客差,最多可以得搶1分...
    新特蘭 36分 GD -19
    侯城 35分 GD -24
    紐卡素 34分 GD -18
    米堡 32分 GD -28
    西布朗 31分 GD -31
結果~~可能排名不變....米堡同紐卡素 BYE BYE

Foxcom

我估新特蘭雖然輸波, 但都護到級, 因為紐卡素同侯城自己太唔爭氣了, 前者算是有鬥志, 但老舒確仍在學神階段, 戰術上仍在try and error, 但已無時間讓佢try; 後者一句講哂實力不足, 而且曼聯向來同新特蘭關係良好, 出d副選但拼盡, 相信侯城最多攞一分