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發表於 2011-2-25 05:53 PM
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Analysis of part of completed Deals:
Atlanta gets: Hilton Armstrong, Kirk Hinrich
Washington gets: Mike Bibby, Jordan Crawford, Maurice Evans(notes), 2011 first-round pick
Analysis: This trade really boils down to two players: Hinrich and Bibby. Both players will see their contracts expire after next season, and there aren’t any significant financial implications here for either team. The Wizards part with Hinrich at a bit of a discounted price, but will net a late first-round pick and Crawford, who has the potential to be an explosive scorer down the line. Some see Jamal Crawford, in him, while others see Nick Young. The Hawks get a significant defensive upgrade at the point in Hinrich, who will slide right into Bibby’s spot in the starting lineup. They’ll lose a bit on the offensive end with Bibby’s scorching hot 44 percent clip from three, but that’s about it. The two post almost identical assist ratios (27.6% for Bibby, 27% for Hinrich), but there’s a rather considerable different in their usage rates (14.6 for Bibby,17.1 for Hinrich). Expect a few less looks for Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, and Al Horford, but nothing too noticeable. This deal, on top of the trade rumors involving Jeff Teague, indicates the franchise’s reluctance to hands the keys over to Teague in the near future.
Chicagogets: 2011 first-round pick (via Miami Heat)
Torontogets: James Johnson
Analysis: The Raptors wasted little time putting Johnson to the test, as he got his first start on Wednesday at small forward ahead of Sonny Weems. There is some nice defensive potential here (2.6 blocks per 36 minutes; 2.3 steals per 36), but he is otherwise an extremely erratic player with a few major flaws – one, he fouls at an exorbitant rate (7.3 per 36 minutes) and two, he is tied with Hilton Armstrong for the league’s second highest turnover rate (22.9; 5.3 per 36 minutes). What that 22.9 mark means is that 22.9 percent of his possessions end in a turnover. The tools are there, but he needs to make some major alterations to his game before he warrants consideration.
New Orleansgets: Carl Landry
Sacramentogets: Marcus Thornton
Analysis: Credit the Hornets, Dell Demps, and Monty Williams for managing to obliterate Thornton’s trade value ina matter of months. He went from being labeled untouchable– with some advocating the team keep him rather than make a move for Carmelo Anthony – to … this. Given Thornton’s major regression to virtual mediocrity this season as he was yanked in and out of the lineup by Williams, it’s almost imperative that he lands somewhere that will provide him some sort of stability, both with respect to minutes and role. The Westphal-led Kings are about the last place that would fit the bill. Nonetheless, with Tyreke Evans(notes) possibly out for the season – he’ll be re-evaluated in three weeks, but there’s very little reason for the Kings to rush him back – the starting two-guard job will be his for the taking. Jermaine Taylor, though better as of late, isn’t a real threat to anyone. On the flip side, Carl Landry will serve to bolster the Hornets’ frontcourt depth, but isn’t looking at any sort of expanded role in New Orleans. He can score in bunches, but is one of the worst rebounders for his position (62nd in rebound rate amongst 75 PF’s) and is a net negative in the other counting categories (assists, steals, blocks). He’ll look to re-discover his shooting touch as well, particularly on long twos.
New Jersey gets: Deron Williams
Utah gets: Derrick Favors, Devin Harris, 2011 first-round pick, 2012 first-round pick (Warriors), $3 million in cash
Analysis: Not a whole lot changes for Favors here. He goes from averaging 20 minutes a game as a starter in New Jersey to a bench role behind Paul Millsap in Utah where he’ll see a few less minutes. His potential has continually been capped by his problematic foul rate (6 per 36 minutes), and he’s only been a two-category contributor up to this point (rebounds, blocks). Getting out of New Jersey is a victory in and of itself for Harris, who was severely (and inexplicably) underutilized by Avery Johnson, playing just under 32 minutes a game at the expense of Jordan Farmar. Johnson’s offensive system almost made poor use of Harris’ speed, playing at the league’s fourth slowest pace. He’ll fill in just fine for Williams, and while colleague Matt Buser sees his presence as a reason to downgrade the values of Al Jefferson, Paul Millsap, and Andrei Kirilenko, I completely disagree. Harris is vastly underrated by the general public for a number of reasons – he plays for a losing team far from the public eye, is seen as a bit of a disappointment given his previous projected trajectory towards stardom, is a few years removed from that ideal age range for young, up-and-comers, and plays in an era dominated by star-studded point guards. A closer look reveals that he stands Williams’ equal, if not slightly superior, in two key areas – free throw attempts per minute and assist ratio. Though his shot has failed him this season, Harris’ ability to slash and create for his teammates should prove of great value. Add in that his usage rate is considerably lower than that of Williams, even with a far inferior cast in New Jersey, and there’s plenty to be optimistic about. If anything, I expect higher production levels out of Millsap and Jefferson.
Golden State gets: Troy Murphy, 2012 second-round pick
New Jersey gets: Dan Gadzuric, Brandan Wright
Analysis: This has almost no implications for the Warriors whatsoever. The Warriors will roll with the same five-man frontcourt rotation they have been for most of the season – David Lee, Andris Biedrins, Ekpe Udoh, Vladimir Radmanovic, and Louis Amundson (who will likelyreturn on Friday). The Nets are expected to buy out Gadzuric, and get a free look at a brittle but talented prospect in Brandan Wright, who never really fit into the Warriors’ system or plans, before deciding whether to extend him a qualifying offer by the June 30 deadline. Troy Murphy is expected to be bought out, and will likely land in Boston, with Miami, Orlando, and possibly New York being the other options. Boston and Miami are the favorites at the moment. The likelihood he makes a major impact with any of those teams is highly unlikely, with an offensive hierarchy already well-established in all four locales. Keep expectations low, and in check, especially considering he hasn’t played organized basketball in some time. |
人生有幾多個十年? 不如坐底飲杯茶食個包啦!
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