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標題: 英超四隊只能活兩隊 [打印本頁]

作者: jyeung1 時間: 2009-5-19 07:29 PM 標題: 英超四隊只能活兩隊

16 Sunderland 37 9 9 19 32 51  6 3 9 19 22  3 6 10 13 29  -19 36
17 Hull City 37 8 11 18 39 63  3 5 10 18 35  5 6 8 21 28  -24 35
18 Newcastle United 37 7 13 17 40 58  5 7 7 24 29  2 6 10 16 29  -18 34
19 Middlesbrough 37 7 11 19 27 55  5 9 5 17 20  2 2 14 10 35  -28 32

Sun. 24  16:00 UK  Sunderland  v  Chelsea
Sun. 24  16:00 UK  Hull City  v  Manchester United
Sun. 24  16:00 UK  Aston Villa  v  Newcastle United
Sun. 24  16:00 UK  West Ham United  v  Middlesbrough

最有機會降班Middlesbrough
但最有機會全取三分

反觀 Hull City & Newcastle未必拿到分

Sunderland 再Loss 一D 都吾出奇
如Manchester United & ASTON Villa放水
甘就Sunderland 衰收尾

作者: chong2002 時間: 2009-5-19 07:42 PM

如果堅尼重係度既話
manutd 或者會幫幫佢

作者: SCM 時間: 2009-5-19 08:48 PM

季初真係冇想過老虎要護級
反而輸波都唔少既stoke city依家企得咁穩

作者: eqhigh 時間: 2009-5-19 09:36 PM

米堡如果真係護到級既位, 相信係近年護級之中既奇跡之一 (本身想講最奇跡, 但醒起前幾年西布朗果次護級

)

佢既情況係, 侯城要大敗+紐卡素要輸+自己要贏, 先至護到級
再唔係, 自己大勝到(3球或以上), 侯城同紐卡素要一分都拎唔到,,

個人認為米堡已經不在依四隊之列咖啦

至於另一隊陪走既, 我希望係新特蘭啦, 侯城我認為佢會拎到分, 而紐卡素就全屬主觀既意願, 皆因佢地實在有太多我喜歡既球員
(Duff, Jonas. Guthrie, Alan Smith, Nolan, Steven Taylor都係好喜歡既球員

)

加油啦喜鶄

作者: phelps 時間: 2009-5-19 10:12 PM

我諗最大機會輸係sunderland, 因為車仔應該會想爭老二
而hull city, 我諗50/50 啦, manutd 應該會留下力歐聯, 不過都有可能係上下半場出一部分主力再搭新仔,
所以都好睇hull city 自己爭唔爭氣先
newcastle 呢....... 我唔知aston villa 同佢有冇仇啦, 因為好多球會與球會既恩怨只有當地人先知的.
如果冇仇口的話, aston villa 又有第5的話( 因為我冇留意佢係咪穩奪第五) 都有可能放一放水既, 話哂newcastle都叫老牌球會呀
而Middlesbrough 方面, 就...... 唔咁睇好, 事關真係佢地打得極差呀..... 就算west ham 放水 , Middlesbrough 都未必把握到 !!!

本人但願newcastle, sunderland 護級成功啦, newcastle 話哂好多球星, 我唔想佢好似當年我所愛既leeds咁, 降班幾本上會星散,最後一落千丈...... 而sunderland 係餘下3隊中最有potential 係下年打番好的 ....

作者: sky308 時間: 2009-5-19 10:46 PM

我只希望老虎仔護到級+紐卡素降班

作者: tonykwl 時間: 2009-5-19 10:51 PM

原帖由 phelps 於 2009-5-19 10:12 PM 發表
newcastle 呢....... 我唔知aston villa 同佢有冇仇啦, 因為好多球會與球會既恩怨只有當地人先知的.
如果冇仇口的話, aston villa 又有第5的話( 因為我冇留意佢係咪穩奪第五) 都有可能放一放水既, 話哂newcastle都叫老牌球會呀

但個point係, 老舒接手紐記之後, 入球能力十分低, 放水比佢, 我驚佢地任射都唔中龍.........................不過我都想紐記護級成功既!

作者: phelps 時間: 2009-5-19 11:13 PM

因為我個人認為newcastle 始終有好多班星, 而且係有實力的, 雖然過氣既過氣,冇態既冇態, 不過去到呢個情況, 打番一場好波, 我諗機會比起其餘果3隊大.
不過都好睇班人對newcastle 有幾多歸屬感先得.....
可能有d人跟本想借降班黎走, 咁點打都唔好啦..... ( 打個比喻 only, 唔係想得罪人, 而且我最想newcastle 護到的)

作者: fderek 時間: 2009-5-20 10:40 AM

其實都餘下賽事唔難估
車仔應該穩勝, 而且唔少於一球啦
侯城打曼聯應該有得搶分
但係我覺得都係俾你摸個和罷了
要諗下曼聯既副選都唔會俾你亂來
個個都想上位所以踢起上來候城一樣唔著數
最後應該係sunderland同 hull city同分但係得失球sunderland好少少唔洗降班
由於兩隊36分, Middlesbrough咁就降硬, 所以唔洗講佢啦, 講下newcastle
贏左先可以唔洗降班, 但係對住維拉, 一樣想搶歐洲賽席位
所以呢場應該會係焦點: 最後可能係取決於教練最後20分鐘點換人
我估應該會開頭70分鐘對攻到膠著狀態, 最後摸和既機會都唔細

[ 本帖最後由 fderek 於 2009-5-20 10:42 AM 編輯 ]

作者: yutik 時間: 2009-5-20 12:56 PM

係我心目中米堡一定降, 因為就算佢win而hull城輸佢都冇乜可能追到得失球.
其他真係冇得估....
我心目中估降班的, 除左西布朗之外
另外兩名就係米堡同埋侯城
newcastle有機會和波然後靠得實球過侯城

作者: chanzhesheng 時間: 2009-5-20 05:22 PM

It is a mission impossible for Middlesbrough to survive the relegation battle. Conditions for Middlesbrough to stay in Premier League are:

1. Hull City must lose to Manchester United (Let say lose by 2 goals)
2. Newcastle United must lose to Aston Villa
3. Middlesbrough must win against West Ham and they must win BIG (At least by 3 goals)

But,

1. Manchester United is the infamous saviour team for those relegation-threaten teams. Remeber West Ham 2 years ago?
2. Aston Villa's form is terrible. May be, just may be Newcastle can bring a draw.
3. Can Middlesbrough beat West Ham AWAY? Probably not.

Probability for Hull to lose to United is high. Probability for Aston Villa to beat Newcastle is high. Even Middlesbrough still has a chance to beat West Ham. But, for the above all 3 situations to occur at the same time, the probability is quite low man. Middlesbrough find only themselves to be blame for their relagation. I would not rule out Middlesbrough to survive but they are against all odds and probably to be relegated.

PROBABILITY FOR MIDDLESBROUGH TO SURVIVE = 10%

Now, Newcastle & Hull City

Conditions for Newcastle to survive is better than Middlesbrough.

If, Hull City lose to United,
then Newcastle just need a draw against Villa to survive.

If, Hull City draw with United,
then Newcastle need a win to survive.

If Hull City defeat United,
then Newcastle must win against Villa and pray hard for Sunderland to lose to Chelsea.Although Newcastle are one point behind Hull City,
But,
They have superior goal difference against Hull City
AND They are up against a team which have no form
AND Hull City may be cant even beat Manchester United Reserve Team.

Hence, these compensate the 'half a point" lead by Hull City. 50-50 for 2 teams

PROBABILITY FOR NEWCASTLE TO SURVIVE = 50%

PROBABILITY FOR HULL CITY TO SURVIVE = 50%

And AFC Sunderland a.k.a. Manchester United 'B' Team

If they win, defintely they will stay.
BUT
If they draw or lose, just pray for Hull or Newcastle not to win the game, they are secured.

PROBABILITY FOR SUNDERLAND TO SURVIVE = 90%

作者: Kon Lai 時間: 2009-5-20 08:42 PM

侯城同新特蘭打曼聯同車仔...(曼聯,車仔要打歐聯,足總盃)
米堡同紐卡素要作客對住韋斯咸,維拉...(維拉穩坐5/6位; 韋斯咸打例行公事)
侯城同新特蘭主場,應該最少可以得搶1分
米堡同紐卡素打作客差,最多可以得搶1分...
新特蘭 36分 GD -19
侯城 35分 GD -24
紐卡素 34分 GD -18
米堡 32分 GD -28
西布朗 31分 GD -31
結果~~可能排名不變....米堡同紐卡素 BYE BYE

作者: Foxcom 時間: 2009-5-20 09:14 PM

我估新特蘭雖然輸波, 但都護到級, 因為紐卡素同侯城自己太唔爭氣了, 前者算是有鬥志, 但老舒確仍在學神階段, 戰術上仍在try and error, 但已無時間讓佢try; 後者一句講哂實力不足, 而且曼聯向來同新特蘭關係良好, 出d副選但拼盡, 相信侯城最多攞一分

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